Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.445274 0.575308 0.716526 0.879225 1.059635 1.251924 1.470814
2025-03-16 0.242939 0.406745 0.605944 0.855408 1.150731 1.482099 1.875608
2025-03-23 0.160637 0.335746 0.568111 0.875682 1.254270 1.691226 2.221557
2025-03-30 0.099380 0.272458 0.525326 0.878483 1.328590 1.860624 2.517867
2025-04-06 0.053584 0.212808 0.473787 0.859141 1.366973 1.980436 2.750163
2025-04-13 0.035146 0.192411 0.473402 0.903820 1.482870 2.191461 3.088595
2025-04-20 0.022201 0.175843 0.475012 0.948621 1.597128 2.399293 3.422408
2025-04-27 0.013896 0.164719 0.482809 1.000523 1.719612 2.616669 3.767394
2025-05-04 0.010655 0.166915 0.512592 1.083942 1.883667 2.885831 4.175275
2025-05-11 0.005818 0.157288 0.519714 1.133044 2.001460 3.096961 4.512729
2025-05-18 0.001378 0.136376 0.502738 1.144130 2.066867 3.241466 4.768483
2025-05-25 NaN 0.097865 0.443402 1.085647 2.034399 3.259859 4.868047
2025-06-01 NaN 0.063535 0.383161 1.023417 1.998472 3.278396 4.975234
2025-06-08 NaN 0.042738 0.345077 0.993082 2.005154 3.350896 5.149237
2025-06-15 NaN 0.035167 0.339378 1.016246 2.087349 3.520911 5.444235
2025-06-22 NaN 0.025689 0.323039 1.018943 2.138873 3.650154 5.687817
2025-06-29 NaN 0.015351 0.295312 0.998102 2.154054 3.730219 5.868524
2025-07-06 NaN 0.014154 0.304753 1.046402 2.272257 3.947570 6.223455
2025-07-13 NaN 0.013079 0.314260 1.094781 2.390657 4.165344 6.579167
2025-07-20 NaN 0.012792 0.327665 1.150720 2.520598 4.398776 6.955077
2025-07-27 NaN 0.015701 0.358444 1.240428 2.701769 4.701157 7.419089
2025-08-03 NaN 0.015032 0.370051 1.293126 2.827137 4.928868 7.788255
2025-08-10 NaN 0.010938 0.360848 1.305014 2.890573 5.073408 8.051497